Black & A Half

The Longest Running Comedy Podcast In Seattle. Probably.

2022 Academy Awards Predictions – Who Will Win Vs Who Should Win.

The 2022 Academy Awards are coming up soon.  I have lots of feelings on most of the categories, but I have a strong suspicion that my picks in the categories won’t always match with the winners.  So here are my picks of who I predict will win vs who I think should win!

Best Picture

  • Belfast
  • CODA
  • Don’t Look Up
  • Drive My Car
  • Dune
  • King Richard
  • Licorice Pizza
  • Nightmare Alley
  • The Power of the Dog
  • West Side Story

Who Will Win: West Side Story

It’s a nearly perfect production of West Side Story and Spielberg is a Hollywood favorite. 

Who Should Win: CODA 

Easily my favorite film of the year. A unique story told really, really well and filled with wonderful performances. 

Best Directing

  • Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorice Pizza)
  • Kenneth Branagh (Belfast)
  • Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
  • Steven Spielberg (West Side Story)
  • Ryûsuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)

Who Will Win: West Side Story

Seems obvious. 

Who Should Win: West Side Story

I can’t argue with this one because the director of my best picture choice isn’t even a nominee. And Spielberg put together a crazy good film here.  

Actor in a Leading Role

  • Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos)
  • Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
  • Andrew Garfield (Tick, Tick … Boom!)
  • Will Smith (King Richard)
  • Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)

Who Will Win: Denzel Washington

Shakespeare and Denzel together, the Academy can’t wait to vote for this. 

Who Should Win: Andrew Garfield

Andrew’s performance was brilliant, but I don’t think the academy feels like he’s earned it. 

Actress in a Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
  • Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter)
  • Penélope Cruz (Parallel Mothers)
  • Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos)
  • Kristen Stewart (Spencer)

Who Will Win: Kristen Stewart

She’s been winning a lot of awards already for this. 

Who Should Win: Olivia Coleman

Her performance was amazing but the film was overall too boring to get through. 

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Ciarán Hinds (Belfast)
  • Troy Kotsur (CODA)
  • Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)
  • J.K. Simmons (Being the Ricardos)
  • Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)

Who Will Win: Troy Kotsur

The Academy loves voting for historical wins (He’s the first deaf actor nominated) and he actually deserves it.  

Who Should Win: Troy Kotsur

His performance was solid. 

Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter)
  • Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)
  • Judi Dench (Belfast)
  • Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
  • Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)

Who Will Win: Ariana Debose

The Academy will not lose the opportunity to give an Oscar to an actual Latina woman in West Side Story. 

Who Should Win: Aunjanue Ellis

She gave the best monologue of the year in King Richard.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

  • CODA (Sian Heder)
  • Drive My Car (Ryûsuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe)
  • Dune (Eric Roth, Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve)
  • The Lost Daughter (Maggie Gyllenhaal)
  • The Power of the Dog (Jane Campion)

Who Will Win: Drive My Car

They will want to give this critics favorite something. 

Who Should Win: CODA

It’s the best story. 

Writing (Original Screenplay)

  • Belfast (Kenneth Branagh)
  • Don’t Look Up (Adam McKay and David Sirota)
  • Licorice Pizza (Paul Thomas Anderson)
  • King Richard (Zach Baylin)
  • The Worst Person in the World (Joachim Trier)

Who Will Win: Licorice PIzza

They will give into the buzz. 

Who Should Win: Don’t Look Up

I absolutely loved the writing in this. 

Animated Feature Film

  • Encanto
  • Flee
  • Luca
  • The Mitchells vs. the Machines
  • Raya and the Last Dragon

Who Will Win: Encanto

Who Should Win: Encanto

Thanks for agreeing with me, Academy.

Costume Design

  • Cruella (Jenny Beavan)
  • Cyrano (Massimo Cantini Parrini)
  • Dune (Jacqueline West)
  • Nightmare Alley (Luis Sequeira)
  • West Side Story (Paul Tazewell)

Who Will Win: Dune

They want to show they like SciFi even thought they won’t give best picture to one. 

Who Should Win: West Side Story

Fabulous Costumes.

Music (Original Score)

  • Don’t Look Up (Nicholas Britell)
  • Dune (Hans Zimmer)
  • Encanto (Germaine Franco)
  • Parallel Mothers (Alberto Iglesias)
  • The Power of the Dog (Jonny Greenwood)

Who Will Win: Dune

Who Should Win:  Encanto

Sound

  • Belfast
  • Dune
  • No Time to Die
  • The Power of the Dog
  • West Side Story

Who Will Win: No Time To Die

They reliably pick an odd winner. 

Who Should Win: Dune

Cinematography

  • Dune (Greig Fraser)
  • Nightmare Alley (Dan Lausten)
  • The Power of the Dog (Ari Wegner)
  • The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bruno Delbonnel)
  • West Side Story (Janusz Kaminski)

Who Will Win: West Side Story

This will go hand in hand with the WSS sweep.Off chance of Nightmare Alley

Who Should Win: West Side Story 

Documentary Feature

  • Ascension
  • Attica
  • Flee
  • Summer of Soul
  • Writing With Fire

Who Will Win: Flee

Cause it is different. 

Who Should Win: Summer of Soul

 

Film Editing

  • Don’t Look Up (Hank Corwin)
  • Dune (Joe Walker)
  • King Richard (Pamela Martin)
  • The Power of the Dog (Peter Sciberras)
  • Tick, Tick… Boom! (Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum)

Who Will Win: Dune

Who Should Win: Don’t Look Up

International Feature Film

  • Drive My Car (Japan)
  • Flee (Denmark)
  • The Hand of God (Italy)
  • Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bhutan)
  • The Worst Person in the World (Norway)

Who Will Win: Drive My Car

This film is sweeping the critics awards.

Who Should Win: The Worst Person In The World

This film has it all. Funny, touching, and original.

Makeup and Hairstyling

  • The Eyes of Tammy Faye
  • House of Gucci
  • Coming 2 America
  • Cruella
  • Dune

Who Will Win: The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Who Should Win: House of Gucci

Music (Original Song)

  • Be Alive — Beyoncé Knowles-Carter and Darius Scott (King Richard)
  • Dos Oruguitas — Lin-Manuel Miranda (Encanto)
  • Down to Joy — Van Morrison (Belfast)
  • No Time to Die — Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell (No Time to Die)
  • Somehow You Do — Diane Warren (Four Good Days)

Who Will Win: No Time To Die

They Love Bond film songs. 

Who Should Win: Dos Oruguitas

Lin Manuel should win all somg awards. 

Production Design

  • Dune (Zsuzsanna Sipos and Patrice Vermette)
  • Nightmare Alley (Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau)
  • The Power of the Dog (Grant Major and Amber Richards)
  • The Tragedy of Macbeth (Stefan Dechant and Nancy Haigh)
  • West Side Story (Rena DeAngelo and Adam Stockhausen)

Who Will Win: Nightmare Alley

Only to try and not give West Side Story everything. 

Who Should Win: West Side Story

Visual Effects

  • Dune
  • Free Guy
  • Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
  • No Time to Die
  • Spider-Man: No Way Home

Who Will Win: Shang-Chi and the Legend of Ten Rings

I think this will be a guilt play.

Who Should Win: Spider-Man No Way Home 

It’s visual effects were completely indistinguishable from real life.

About The Author

When he’s not reviewing films or interviewing people for the Black & A Half podcast, Silas Lindenstein can be found in the greater metro Seattle, WA working as a real estate agent helping people buy and sell homes, or performing stand up comedy to fellow nerds. He has a wife and three children and desperately wants to learn to make the perfect homemade pizza.

Episode #92: Parasite

Joseph Grienauer stops by to talk about the Korean film Parasite that Silas and him went and saw together. This 2020 academy award nominated film had a huge impact on the both of them and they have a thorough discussion of the film. Plenty of Spoilers, so be warned!

Ways to support Black & A Half!!!

Please give us a 5 star rating and review & subscribe to us on iTunes!

Become a supporter on Patreon for a small monthly donation: www.Patreon.com/blackandahalf

Sponsorship

This episode is brought to you by Silas Lindenstein at Skyline Properties. If you are in the Seattle area and looking to buy or sell a home. Email Silas at Silas@SilasGetsReal.com or text him at 206-351-9230.

If you are out of the Seattle area but looking to buy or sell a home, you can also support Black & A Half by getting a real estate referral partner from Silas. Email him for more info.

Episode #89: The Oscar Nominations & Digital Blackface

Silas Lindenstein & Nicole Santora discuss the recent Academy Award Nominations, how Netflix is affecting the awards, what shows they are streaming right now, and digital blackface. This is the first episode of 2020 because Silas was sick the last two weeks. Thanks for hanging in there and supporting us!

Ways to support Black & A Half!!!

Please give us a 5 star rating and review & subscribe to us on iTunes!

Become a supporter on Patreon for a small monthly donation: www.Patreon.com/blackandahalf

Sponsorship

This episode is brought to you by Silas Lindenstein at Skyline Properties. If you are in the Seattle area and looking to buy or sell a home. Email Silas at Silas@SilasGetsReal.com or text him at 206-351-9230.

If you are out of the Seattle area but looking to buy or sell a home, you can also support Black & A Half by getting a real estate referral partner from Silas. Email him for more info.

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